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2023 Lombard regional election

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2023 Lombard regional election

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All 80 seats to the Regional Council of Lombardy
Turnout41.61% (Decrease 31.49%)
  Majority party Minority party Third party
 
Candidate Attilio Fontana Pierfrancesco Majorino Letizia Moratti
Party Lega Democratic Party Independent
Alliance Centre-right Centre-left Action – Italia Viva
Last election 49 seats, 49.8% 31 seats, 48.4%[1] New
Seats won 49 24 7
Seat change Steady Decrease 7 Increase 7
Popular vote 1,774,477 1,101,417 320,346
Percentage 54.6% 33.9% 9.9%
Swing Increase 4.8% Decrease 14.5% Increase 9.9%

2023 Lombard regional election map results

President before election

Attilio Fontana
Lega

Elected President

Attilio Fontana
Lega

The 2023 Lombard regional election took place on 12 and 13 February 2023. The election took place concurrently with the 2023 Lazio regional election, as decided by the Italian government on 9 December 2022.[2]

According to the final results, Attilio Fontana was reelected President of Lombardy with more than 54% of the votes, obtaining the greater bonus given by the electoral law. Voter turnout was registered at 41.61%, the lowest ever recorded for a regional election.

Electoral system

[edit]

Since 2012, Lombardy adopted its own legislation to elect its regional council, which is similar to the national Tatarella Law of 1995. While the president of Lombardy and the leader of the opposition are still elected at-large, 78 councilors are elected by party lists under a form of semi-proportional representation. The winning coalition receives a jackpot of at least 45 seats, which are divided between all majority parties using the D'Hondt method, as it happens between the losing lists. Each party then distributes its seats to its provincial lists, where candidates are selected through open lists. According to the Law 17 February 1968, no. 108, the Regional Council is elected every five years. The election can take place no earlier than the fourth Sunday before the completion of this five years period and no later than 60 days after that date.[3][4][5]

Political parties and candidates

[edit]
Political party or alliance Constituent lists Previous result Candidate
Votes (%) Seats
Centre-right coalition League (Lega) 29.6 28
Forza Italia (FI) 14.3 14
Brothers of Italy (FdI) 3.6 3
Ideal Lombardy – Fontana for President[a] 1.5 1
Us ModeratesRenaissance 1.3 1
Centre-left coalition Democratic Party (PD) 19.2 15
Five Star Movement (M5S) 17.8 13
Greens and Left Alliance (AVS)
Civic Pact – Majorino for President[b]
Centre coalition Action – Italia Viva (A–IV)
Moratti for President[c]
People's Union (UP)
  1. ^ Including Coraggio Italia (CI), Us of the Centre (NdC), Popular Alternative (AP), and Italian Republican Party (PRI)
  2. ^ Including Italian Radicals (RI), Possible (Pos), Europeanist Civic Lombard Movement (MLCE), Green and Civic Alliance (AVEC), Solidary Democracy (DEMOS), and Volt Italy (Volt)
  3. ^ Including Great North (GN)

Opinion polling

[edit]
Candidates
Date Polling firm Sample size Fontana Majorino Moratti Others Lead
12–13 Feb 2023 Election results 54.7 33.9 9.9 1.5 20.8
26 Jan 2023 Noto TBD 51.5 29.0 18.0 1.5 22.5
24–26 Jan 2023 SWG 1,000 48.0 34.0 16.0 2.0 14.0
23–26 Jan 2023 Quorum 400 48.4 34.4 14.3 2.9 14.0
23–25 Jan 2023 IZI 1,004 45.0 39.5 14.0 1.5 5.5
16–24 Jan 2023 Ipsos 1,000 45.0 33.8 19.0 2.2 11.2
10-18 Jan 2023 Index 800 45.0 36.0 17.5 1.5 9.0
13–15 Jan 2023 IZI 1,008 43.9 39.8 14.8 1.5 4.1
9–12 Jan 2023 Winpoll 2,000 41.3 25.2 27.6 5.9 13.7
5–6 Jan 2023 IZI 1,012 43.2 39.0 17.8 4.2
5 Dec 2022 IZI 1,013 45.1 40.1 14.8 5.0
Hypothetical candidates
Date Polling firm Sample size Fontana Other CDX Majorino Other CSX Moratti Other CX M5S Others Lead
30 Nov1 Dec 2022 Winpoll 1,000 43.9 24.5 28.4 w. CSX 3.2[a] 15.5
42.8 20.9 27.1 6.3 2.9[a] 15.7
25–28 Nov 2022 BiDiMedia 3,000 47.6 29.0 15.0 5.9 2.5 18.6
52.7 35.7 w. CSX 9.0 2.6 17.0
50.0 26.0[b] 8.0 16.6 24.0
21–22 Nov 2022 IZI 1,004 45.2 29.8 13.4 11.6 15.4
3–4 Nov 2022 Winpoll 1,000 51.1 42.6[c] 6.3 8.5
43.3 49.1[b] 7.6 5.8
53.0 39.3 7.7 13.7
52.5 38.7[d] 8.8 13.8
7–10 Oct 2022 Winpoll 1,700 49.7[b] 34.4[c] 6.8 3.5 5.6 15.3
50.5[b] 31.7[e] 5.8 5.0 7.0 18.8
35.3 47.8[b] 8.7 8.2 12.5
Political parties
Date Polling firm Sample size Centre-right Centre-left Centre UP Others Lead
FdI Lega FI LIF NM PD M5S AVS PCM A–IV MP
12–13 Feb 2023 Election results 25.2 16.5 7.2 6.2 1.2 21.8 3.9 3.2 3.8 4.2 5.3 1.4 3.4
24–26 Jan 2023 SWG 1,000 24.8 14.1 7.8 3.0 1.0 16.7 7.6 3.8 6.3 7.3 5.8 1.8 8.1
23–25 Jan 2023 IZI 1,004 23.5 12.9 6.6 2.1 2.1 19.8 9.2 5.9 2.5 9.1 4.5 1.8 3.7
16–24 Jan 2023 Ipsos 1,000 24.9 13.4 6.5 4.7 18.4 8.1 6.0 7.5 8.6 1.9 6.5
13–15 Jan 2023 IZI 1,008 25.7 13.5 6.7 1.4 18.9 10.2 6.9 3.5 8.5 3.2 1.5 6.8
5–6 Jan 2023 IZI 1,012 27.1 13.4 7.6 1.2 17.5 8.3 5.4 2.7 10.3 3.5 3.4 9.6
5 Dec 2022 IZI 1,013 27.0 14.9 8.9 17.0 9.8 5.4 9.8 7.2 10.0
25–28 Nov 2022 BiDiMedia 3,000 31.0 11.4 6.9 17.2 9.0 3.7 11.8 1.1 6.9 13.8
21–22 Nov 2022 IZI 1,004 31.0 15.8 4.1 16.8 9.3 5.0 9.3 8.7 14.2
7–10 Oct 2022 Winpoll 1,700 23.7 11.5 7.0 20.1 5.9 4.1 6.5 11.8 0.7 8.7 3.6

Results

[edit]
Composition of the Regional Council of Lombardy by coalition since 2023:
  Centre-right (49)
  Centre-left (24)
  Action – Italia Viva (7)
12–13 February 2023 Lombard regional election results
Candidates Votes % Seats Parties Votes % Seats
Attilio Fontana 1,774,477 54.67 1
Brothers of Italy 725,402 25.18 22
LeagueLombard League 476,175 16.53 14
Forza Italia 208,420 7.23 6
Fontana for President 177,387 6.16 5
Us ModeratesRenaissance 33,711 1.17 1
Total 1,621,095 56.27 48
Pierfrancesco Majorino 1,101,417 33.93 1
Democratic Party 628,774 21.82 17
Five Star Movement 113,229 3.93 3
Civic Pact – Majorino for President 110,126 3.82 2
Greens and Left Alliance 93,019 3.23 1
Total 945,148 32.80 23
Letizia Moratti 320,346 9.87 Moratti for President 152,652 5.30 4
Action – Italia Viva 122,356 4.25 3
Total 275,008 9.55 7
Mara Ghidorzi 49,514 1.53 People's Union 39,913 1.39
Blank and invalid votes 93,265 2.79
Total candidates 3,245,754 100.00 2 Total parties 2,881,164 100.00 78
Registered voters/turnout 8,010,538 41.68
Source: Ministry of the Interior – Historical Archive of Elections


Results by provinces

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Province Attilio Fontana Pierfrancesco Majorino Letizia Moratti Mara Ghidorzi Turnout
Milan 454,439
44.86%
425,848
42.04%
115,573
11.41%
17,181
1.70%
41.55%
Brescia 269,589
61.88%
125,456
28.79%
34,667
7.96%
5,983
1.37%
45.33%
Bergamo 234,229
60.88%
112,339
29.20%
31,790
8.26%
6,363
1.65%
44.55%
Varese 164,856
59.43%
81,801
29.49%
26,921
9.70%
3,840
1.38%
38.49%
Monza and Brianza 155,469
53.73%
98,945
34.19%
30,639
10.59%
4,310
1.49%
42.54%
Como 119,679
61.22%
53,190
27.21%
20,012
10.24%
2,607
1.33%
39.08%
Pavia 99,437
60.53%
47,834
29.12%
14,368
8.75%
2,644
1.61%
38.50%
Mantua 64,567
54.17%
41,891
35.15%
10,873
9.12%
1,855
1.56%
36.75%
Cremona 68,148
57.90%
36,908
31.36%
10,534
8.95%
2,111
1.79%
42.46%
Lecco 67,009
55.89%
38,083
31.77%
13,177
10.99%
1,619
1.35%
44.92%
Lodi 39,233
57.05%
23,094
33.58%
5,904
8.59%
535
0.78%
40.76%
Sondrio 37,822
62.82%
16,028
26.62%
5,888
9.78%
466
0.77%
37.96%

Results by capital city

[edit]
City Attilio Fontana Pierfrancesco Majorino Letizia Moratti Mara Ghidorzi Turnout
Milan 160,781
37.69%
199,760
46.83%
58,994
13.83%
7,006
1.64%
42.17%
Brescia 29,682
43.46%
31,473
46.09%
6,034
8.84%
1,102
1.61%
47.58%
Monza 19,484
46.46%
15,999
38.15%
5,841
13.93%
616
1.47%
43.80%
Bergamo 17,256
41.29%
18,506
44.28%
5,233
12.52%
798
1.91%
45.16%
Como 12,525
49.24%
9,252
36.38%
3,328
13.08%
330
1.30%
36.26%
Varese 15,194
56.12%
8,804
32.52%
2,758
10.19%
318
1.17%
42.05%
Pavia 10,944
45.97%
9,708
40.78%
2,723
11.44%
430
1.81%
40.76%
Cremona 10,989
48.20%
9,319
40.87%
2,041
8.95%
450
1.97%
42.09%
Mantua 5,938
39.29%
7,488
49.55%
1,421
9.40%
265
1.75%
39.89%
Lecco 8,723
50.69%
6,226
36.18%
2,023
11.76%
236
1.37%
45.75%
Lodi 7,263
48.30%
6,211
41.31%
1,435
9.54%
127
0.84%
44.40%
Sondrio 3,718
52.02%
2,704
37.83%
661
9.25%
64
0.90%
40.33%

Elected councillors

[edit]
  1. ^ As president of the region.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ The combined result of the Centre-left coalition (29.1%), Five Star Movement (17.4%) and Free and Equal (1.9%) in the 2018 regional election.
  2. ^ "Elezioni regionali: il voto il 12 e 13 febbraio". La Repubblica (in Italian). 9 December 2022. Retrieved 13 February 2023.
  3. ^ "Legge 17 febbraio 1968, n. 108. Norme per la elezione dei consigli regionali nelle regioni a statuto normale. [Pubblicata nella Gazzetta Ufficiale n. 61 del 6 marzo 1968]" (PDF). Consiglio Regionale della Lombardia (in Italian). Retrieved 13 February 2023.
  4. ^ "La legge elettorale – gli aspetti essenziali" (PDF). Consiglio regionale della Lombardia (in Italian). Retrieved 13 February 2023.
  5. ^ "Elezioni del Consiglio e del Presidente di Regione Lombardia". San Giuliano Online (in Italian). 22 December 2022. Retrieved 13 February 2023.